Afternoon market commentary
Tue Sep 15 — S&P 500 -0.5% to 7,585.73 on FOMC-eve oil and yield pressure, WTI +4.4% to $105.83, the 10-year closed 4.99% after touching a 19-year intraday high, hike odds at 95%.
September 15, 2026 · Dependability Research Desk
SEP 15
Morning market analysis
Tue Sep 15 — FOMC day one with a 92%-priced hike, the 10Y back above 5% (highest since 2007), Brent near $108 on the Saudi pipeline shutdown, and mixed China data overnight.
SEP 14
Afternoon market commentary
Mon Sep 14 — S&P 500 -0.5% to 7,618.70 as the AI-safety debate hit chips and the 10-year touched 5%; VIX +8.5% to 17.18, WTI settled at $101.39, FOMC decision Wednesday.
SEP 14
Morning market analysis
Mon Sep 14 — the AI-caution trade hammers chips (Nasdaq futures −1.8%), crude surges past $107 on the Saudi pipeline shutdown, and Wednesday's FOMC is ~90%-priced for a 25bp hike.
SEP 12
REFERENCE
Every defined-risk structure on this journal carries the same five exits, decided before entry. The exit is part of the trade — not an afterthought.
SEP 11
Morning market analysis
Fri Sep 11 — CPI day: August CPI at 8:30 AM ET (consensus +0.3% MoM core) is the verdict for September positioning into Wednesday's FOMC.
SEP 11
Afternoon market commentary
S&P 500 closes Friday at 7,656 (+0.86%), snapping a four-day losing streak, as August CPI prints +0.4% MoM with core +0.3%; VIX -11.2% to 15.84.
SEP 10
Morning market analysis
Thu Sep 10 opens modestly higher pre-CPI positioning; Initial Claims at 8:30 AM ET; oil extends past $95 (CL $97.53); Friday's CPI is the verdict.
SEP 10
Afternoon market commentary
S&P 500 closes Thursday at 7,591.70 (-0.58%), a fourth straight loss, as WTI tops $100 and the 10Y jumps to 4.95%; VIX closes at 17.84.
SEP 9
Afternoon market commentary
Pre-CPI hawkish positioning day — SPX -0.48% to 7,636.36; VIX expands +4.71% to 16.46; oil past $95 area (XLE +0.83%, USO +2.70%); 10Y +3.1 bp to 4.837%. Friday's CPI is the September release.